Friday, January 25, 2019

2019 MLS Eastern Conference Rundown

Started a mini project last week. The target was to gather as much info on each player in the MLS Eastern Conference and use that info to evaluate each team ahead of the 2019 season. All done. Atlanta United is going to be the team out front this season.

Preseason Team Grades, to date:

A
Atlanta United
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew

B
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC

C
Montreal Impact
DC United
New England Revolution

D
Philadelphia Union
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
Orlando City

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How did I get here? I've spent the last couple weeks working through each rostered player in Major League Soccer's Eastern Conference. I now have in my possession a mini-dossier on every player on each team. Player vitals (height, foot, birthplace, sign date, former club/team, etc), Football Manager 19, FIFA 19 and WhoScored player ratings and player value.

I used this information, along with last year's rosters, to create a best XI and bench (18) for each team. Here's how that looks.


Player Ratings (avg)TransferMarkt Value (000)
TeamStartersBenchStartersBench
1ATL71.066.7$ 66,429$ 14,484
2TFC70.565.4$ 25,027$ 3,502
3NYC70.564.6$ 16,303$ 4,470
4DCU69.756.6$ 21,934$ 2,990
5NYR69.764.9$ 20,192$ 3,745
6MTL69.665.2$ 13,410$ 4,876
7CLB69.366.2$ 24,671$ 4,180
8NER68.764.5$ 13,278$ 5,115
9PHI68.256.5$ 9,933$ 5,529
10FCC68.164.3$ 11,420$ 4,790
11CHI67.863.7$ 17,022$ 3,955
12ORL67.262.2$ 10,365$ 3,309 

The chart is sorted by "Starters."

Here's a list of top rated players (median rating -  FM19, FIFA 19 and last observed WhoScored). A rating of 72 and greater means the player is in the top 8%.

RatingNameTeam
79Wayne RooneyDCU
79Sebastian GiovincoTFC
77Miguel AlmirónATL
77Ignacio PiattiMTL
76Josef MartínezATL
76Michael BradleyTFC
75Maxi MoralezNYC
74Kendall WastonFCC
73Saphir TaiderMTL
73MarceloCHI
73Luciano AcostaDCU
73Alexander RingNYC
73Bastian SchweinsteigerCHI
73Fanendo AdiFCC
73Brad GuzanATL
72Bradley Wright-PhillipsNYR
72Alejandro BedoyaPHI
72Bacary SagnaMTL
72Nemanja NikolicCHI
72Ebenezer OforiNYC
72Gonzalo MartínezATL
72Dax McCartyCHI
72Pedro SantosCLB
72Russell CanouseDCU

Where players in the projected starting X1's fall, out of all 319 individuals evaluated:

TeamTop 25%Top 25-50%
ATL91
DCU73
NYR74
TFC74
MTL63
CLB65
CHI51
NYC56
FCC46
NER47
PHI47
ORL36

When looking at the strength of starting XI's, I can also tell which teams have specific needs. This means a team has a position that is lacking a quality (average and above) starter.

Number of Important / Critical Needs:

TotalTeam
6CHI
5ORL
3FCC
2MTL
2NER
2PHI
1ATL
1DCU
1NYC
0NYR
0TFC
0CLB

It's the positional holes that sink a teams season. Chicago and Orlando are way behind, at the moment. Add on that, three of these teams are in critical need of a starter. Orlando City, FC Cincinnati and DC United.

TEAM VALUES

Atlanta is tops in everything across the board. Most notably, Transfer Market values. The $66 million for their starters is easily double the next closest team. The seven players they carry on the bench is worth more than FIVE starting XI's.


There are still some moves to be made like Miguel Almiron, Kaku and Sebastian Giovinco, but for the most part, this is the way things will land by season start in March.

Value ($ millions) : Name
23 : Gonzalo Martínez (ATL)
17 : Miguel Almirón(ATL)
11 : Josef Martínez (ATL)
9 : Wayne Rooney (DCU)
9 : Ezequiel Barco (ATL)
7 : Sebastian Giovinco (TFC)
6 : Zack Steffen (CLB)
6 : Jozy Altidore (TFC)
5 : Nemanja Nikolic (CHI)
5 : Alejandro Romero Gamarra (NYR)
5 : Héctor Villalba (ATL)
4 : Gyasi Zardes (CLB)
4 : Lucas Rodríguez (DCU)

That's it for now. Next steps: I want to start adding where the player played as a youth and how long - also, do some work with salaries in relation to my evals and values. I'll continue to update these teams as the offseason moves along.

Thanks for reading.

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LINK TO EACH INDIVIDUAL TEAM PROFILE
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Preseason Look: Montreal Impact

Preseason Look: NY City FC

Preseason Look: DC United

Preseason Look: Orlando City

Preseason Look: Chicago Fire

Preseason Look: Toronto FC

Preseason Look: New England Revolution

Preseason Look: NY Red Bulls

Preseason Look: Philadelphia Union

Preseason Look: Atlanta United

Preseason Look: Columbus Crew

Pre-Season Look at FC Cincinnati


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