Tuesday, August 20, 2019

Crew Lows, Recovery Coming

While a recent unbeaten run has pulled the 2019 Crew off the mat to an average of one point per game, it came too late to hold off a record low for any 10 game run I have on record (going back to the 2009 season) of 0.20 points per game (PPG).

The rolling 20 game run is currently at an all-time low of 0.65 PPG, dropping below the previous low in 2016 of 0.85 PPG under Gregg Berhalter for the 3rd consecutive week.

What this means is that recovery is likely coming, based on what I've observed before. No team in MLS stays horrible for terribly long as the league is designed to prevent it. That appears to be so here in Columbus.

I don't think the manager on the sideline has a heck of a lot to do with that recovery, however! I do believe that if Caleb Porter can't get something going early next season, he will be replaced. I image the team really wants positive momentum going into the new stadium in 2021.

The chart below shows rolling results going back to 2009. On the vertical axis is PPG, horizontal is year.

You can see the clear up and down nature of results. It happens across the league. With more teams, we may see recoveries and falls happen a bit slower, but they will happen.

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