Showing posts with label points earned per game. Show all posts
Showing posts with label points earned per game. Show all posts

Sunday, October 16, 2016

Naess, Saeid lift a bad '16 Crew

Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports

Here is a look at Columbus Crew SC team performance as far as points earned when each player starts. This will give us a general feel for how well the team did (in 2016) when a particular player was selected and perhaps give us some insight on where the issues were this year that otherwise might've been missed.

NameGms StartedPtsPPG34 GmsPlus/minus Team
Nicolai Naess11171.555315
Mohammed Saeid23331.434911
Hector Jimenez13171.31446
Justin Meram29361.24424
Ethan Finlay27321.19402
Harrison Afful28321.14391
Steve Clark32361.13380
Michael Parkhurst32361.13380
Tyson Wahl11121.0937-1
Dilly Duka12131.0837-1
Gaston Sauro12131.0837-1
Fedrico Higuain17181.0636-2
Ola Kamara18191.0636-2
Corey Ashe13131.0034-4
Wil Trapp27271.0034-4
Waylon Francis13100.7726-12
Tony Tchani18130.7225-13
Cederick640.6723-15

That's an impressive haul from Nicolai Naess and Mohammed Saeid this year. The points per game average played out over 34 games would be enough to earn a playoff spot. Though, that sort of projecting is a little tricky because players don't normally start that many. It's used here to give me an idea of how much better the team is with them in there. It separates the numbers a bit, highlights impact a bit more than PPG.

When played together during the last part of the 2016 season Naess and Saeid earned 1.78 points per game (all but one game from round 23-32).

Fittingly enough, with Halloween right around the corner, there are a couple frightening figures in here. Most notably: Wil Trapp and Tony Tchani. The ballast to Gregg Berhalter's system the first two years he was in charge. Completely and totally did not work this year. Wil Trapp, in particular. Something was off. It's possible that it was his grandfather's passing early in the year, or perhaps lingering injuries. Not sure.

Waylon Francis' season went off course as well, but it's not like his backup / replacement Corey Ashe helped the situation. Interestingly, it wasn't until Hector Jimenez filled that role that things got a bit better (again, late in the season).

NameGms StartedPtsPPG
Adam Jahn372.33
Rodrigo Saravia133.00
Chad Barson310.33

Missing in the figure at the top of this post are three players that didn't get to start much. Normally, when looking at this facts and figures like this I tend to discount players under five or so starts. Adam Jahn's contribution to points, however, is important to a team that has so few.

Jahn's small impact, alongside the mysterious disappearance of Ola Kamara late this year, also points me in a direction that I didn't expect to go in in regards to the key issues with the season. Was there something Kamara was doing to hurt the team? The team record was statistically about the same with or without him over the course of the season and he did score goals, but the late mini-surge once Berhalter sat him in favor of Jahn, raises questions.

Examining the wreckage of a lost MLS season is much more complex than metrics like the one above, but it does give insight. A place to start digging and questioning. Light up some dark places, so-to-speak.

The year will probably be remembered for the Kamara fiasco, but maybe the season could have taken a turn towards the playoffs if a few players were left off the starting eleven during one of the bad runs this year.

Tuesday, August 28, 2012

UPDATED: Points Earned per Start (Crew)

(minimum of 5 games started)

Pts P GM : Name : # of Starts

2.20 : Cole Grossman 5
2.10 : Carlos Mendes 10
1.89 : Dilly Duka 9
1.80 : Danny O´Rourke 10
1.80 : Bernardo Anor 5*
1.75 : Jairo Obando Arrieta 8
1.60 : Emilio Renteria 15
1.58 : Joshua Williams 19
1.57 : Sebastián Miranda 23
1.50 : Andy Gruenebaum 24
1.50 : Eddie Gaven 24
1.50 : Shaun Francis 6**

Performing Below Team Average (1.50)

1.40 : Chris Birchall 10
1.33 : Justin Meram 9
1.31 : Chad Marshall 16
1.30 : Nemanja Vukovic 10
1.25 : Milovan Mirosevic 16
1.17 : Olman Vargas 6
1.14 : Eric Gehrig 7
1.08 : Tony Tchani 12

Not enough starts

3.00 : Federico Higuaín 2
1.50 : Julius James 2
1.33 : Ethan Finlay 3
1.00 : Kevan George 4
1.00 : Aaron Schoenfeld 3


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OBSERVATIONS
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1. TEN to FIFTEEN Starts and Positive Results
This particular metric becomes meaningful / reliable after 10 starts. O'Rourke and Mendes, when in the lineup, will help the team win. Mendes, in particular, has been impressive here. Only 1 loss in 10 starts.

2. FIVE to TEN is a Trend
Cole, Duka and Arrieta are trending the right way. When I see players pass that 5 start mark, I take notice.

3. SIXTEEN+ Starts, Driver's Seat
Any player with this many starts is controlling the overall team's results. It'll be interesting to see how this plays out the rest of the year as there are a couple players way down the list that shouldn't be.

4. While an important metric, points earned per game is just one measurement among many.

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* Anor is out for the rest of the year
** Francis was dropped mid-season

Saturday, August 11, 2012

Points Per Start, Columbus Crew

2012 Season to Date. The Columbus Crew have played 20 League games.

(3 Pts for a win, 1 for a Draw, 0 for loss)

PTS pGM : NAME : GAMES STARTED

3.00 : Cole Grossman 3
2.17 : Carlos Mendes 6
2.00 : Dilly Duka 6
1.80 : Bernardo Anor 5
1.67 : Danny O´Rourke 9
1.50 : Julius James 2
1.50 : Emilio Renteria 14
1.50 : Jairo Obando Arrieta 4
1.50 : Shaun Francis 6
1.47 : Sebastián Miranda 19
1.47 : Joshua Williams 15

1.40 : Andy Gruenebaum 20
1.40 : TEAM AVERAGE
1.40 : Eddie Gaven 20


1.38 : Justin Meram 8
1.33 : Ethan Finlay 3
1.30 : Nemanja Vukovic 10
1.29 : Chris Birchall 7
1.17 : Olman Vargas 6
1.14 : Eric Gehrig 7
1.08 : Tony Tchani 12
1.08 : Chad Marshall 12
1.00 : Aaron Schoenfeld 3
1.00 : Kevan George 4
1.00 : Milovan Mirosevic 13

NOTE:
Right now the club in the last playoff spot (CHI) is averaging 1.59 pts p/GM. Columbus needs 3 wins and 0 losses from where they are (a record of 11 W, 4D, 8L) to get +1.60.