Wednesday, November 7, 2012

Helltown Beer Crew Player Ratings

Over the past few weeks I've covered a number of different Crew (and league) player ratings from the 2012 season. For this post I will list out my own ratings. They will be posted on the right with the rest to compare.

QUICK NOTES ON MY RATING MODEL

Throughout the year I rate every player in Major League Soccer. My model is based on something I came up with early last year and it has served me well since. I like doing it and is becoming more reliable for me. However, sometime last summer it became fully self aware, took over my computer and now even controls how I think and even feel. I'm surprised it has even allowed me to write this much.

HELLTOWN BEER RATING : NAME : LEAGUE RANK

78 : Eddie Gaven : 9
69 : Andy Gruenebaum : 43
68 : Sebastian Miranda : 44
60 : Josh Williams : 74
56 : Milovan Mirosevic : 92
53 : Chad Marshall : 109
48 : Jairo Arrieta : 139
43 : Emilio Rentería : 168
40 : Chris Birchall : 188
40 : Danny O'Rourke : 191
37 : Tony Tchani : 208
35 : Federico Higuain : 226
32 : Nemanja Vukovic : 241
31 : Justin Meram : 251
30 : Dilly Duka : 257

28 : LEAGUE MEDIAN

27 : Carlos Mendes : 281
24 : Eric Gehrig : 297
22 : Julius James : 314
22 : Olman Vargas : 316
19 : Shaun Francis : 336
18 : Cole Grossman : 344
18 : Bernardo Anor : 346
16 : Ethan Finlay : 368
16 : Kevan George : 370
14 : Aaron Schoenfeld : 398
10 : Matt Lampson : 449
8 : Ben Speas : 474
7 : Tommy Heinemann : 495

If it looks funny that a 28 is league median, it's because 236 of the 532 players that saw minutes played less than 900. Bad MLS teams love to toss players out on the pitch instead of doing the homework beforehand. Half the league was bad this year. Thus, lots of players.

164 players didn't make it to 450 minutes.

My model takes 16 league stats (that I prefer) - applies value through efficiencies, adds a dash of weight, glances at the league table and conjures up a point total.

I don't take into account things like potential, or perceived talent. It also ignores fan favorites and the dreams of the hopeful - yet, lost.

What is does is tell me who is doing well in MLS and contributing to the team in relationship to the rest of the league, based on actual results. I like actual results, as should you.

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I'm building up to a big fat final player grade based on Crew player rating from across the internets.

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