Thursday, December 18, 2014

The Measure of Success in MLS


Measuring success and failure is a constant part of my daily life. Did this team succeed in hitting their goals today or did they trip up and fail. In the business world measuring success is not about winning outright in so as much as it is hitting goals. For a practical example, I could say that a 20 person team I have staffed to produce 10 units a person over a 8 hour shift should ship out 200 (or 25 units per hour). In my world, hitting that target is a victory.

What if there were other teams to measure it against. A company across town that produced the same product as me. Would they be doing it at the same rate? If they were more productive, would it be the same quality? Are they using the same materials? Are they paying more?

On the most basic of levels, this is what we are talking about in regards to sporting competition. There can be only one winner in professional leagues across the world but the measurement of success for teams that don't quite get there varies wildly team to team, season to season.

With Major League Soccer we see plenty of trophies that help answer the "my local team didn't win the MLS Cup but did my team have a good year?" question.

Let's do a quick rundown of MLS measurements of success. You've got making the playoffs (10 of 19 teams), winning the conference (East or West), Supporters' Shield winner (team with best record overall) and finally MLS Cup winner. Now - outside of all those things we also have the US Open Cup and CONCACAF Champions League for teams to achieve. That's a lot of damn things for a league of just 19 teams to earn. Oh, that's to say nothing of the increasingly popular preseason tournaments and mid-season international cups featuring foreign super teams. It's overwhelming really.

How about we strip it down a bit.

MLS sat at 19 teams from 2012-2014. Three full seasons. Gloriously simple since the league plays a Spring to Fall schedule.

Here is how many regular season + playoff MLS games each team has played:

Games Played (Reg Season + Playoffs) - Team
115 - LA Galaxy
113 - Seattle Sounders FC
113 - Houston Dynamo
111 - Real Salt Lake
111 - New York Red Bulls
110 - Sporting Kansas City
109 - New England Revolution
108 - D.C. United
106 - Portland Timbers
105 - FC Dallas
104 - San Jose Earthquakes
104 - Columbus Crew
104 - Vancouver Whitecaps
103 - Montreal Impact
103 - Chicago Fire
103 - Colorado Rapids
102 - Chivas USA
102 - Philadelphia Union
102 - Toronto FC

There you have it, LA is the best MLS team since 2012. Chivas, Philly, TFC are the worst.

Here are Points Earned in MLS Cup Playoffs since 2012 (consider this the playoff table)

Points : Team
24 : LA Galaxy
18 : Houston Dynamo
15 : Seattle Sounders FC
14 : Real Salt Lake
13 : New England Revolution
11 : Sporting Kansas City
9 : New York Red Bulls
8 : D.C. United
6 : Portland Timbers
4 : FC Dallas
3 : San Jose Earthquakes
0 : Vancouver Whitecaps
0 : Columbus Crew
0 : Chicago Fire
0 : Colorado Rapids
0 : Montreal Impact
0 : Philadelphia Union
0 : Chivas USA
0 : Toronto FC

Here is aggregate goal difference since 2012 (including playoffs, of course):

Goal Difference : Team

+70 : LA Galaxy
+69
+68
+67
+66
+65
+64
+63
+62
+61
+60
+59
+58
+57
+56
+55
+54
+53
+52
+51
+50
+49
+48
+47
+46
+45
+44
+43
+42
+41
+40
+39 : Sporting Kansas City, Real Salt Lake
+38
+37
+36
+35
+34
+33
+32 : New York Red Bulls
+31
+30 : Seattle Sounders FC
+29
+28
+27
+26
+25
+24
+23
+22
+21
+20
+19
+18
+17
+16
+15
+14 : New England Revolution
+13
+12
+11
+10
+9
+8
+7 : Portland Timbers
+6 : San Jose Earthquakes
+5
+4
+3
+2 : FC Dallas, Vancouver Whitecaps, Columbus Crew
+1

0

-1
-2
-3 : Houston Dynamo
-4
-5
-6
-7
-8
-9
-10 : Philadelphia Union
-11 : Chicago Fire
-12
-13
-14 : D.C. United
-15
-16
-17
-18
-19
-20 : Colorado Rapids
-21
-22
-23
-24
-25
-26
-27
-28 : Montreal Impact
-29
-30
-31
-32
-33
-34
-35
-36
-37
-38
-39
-40
-41
-42
-43
-44
-45
-46
-47
-48
-49
-50
-51
-52
-53 : Toronto FC
-54
-55
-56
-57
-58
-59
-60
-61
-62
-63
-64
-65
-66
-67
-68
-69
-70
-71
-72
-73
-74
-75
-76
-77
-78
-79
-80
-81
-82
-83
-84
-85
-86
-87
-88
-89
-90
-91
-92
-93
-94
-95
-96
-97
-98
-99
-100
-101
-102
-103 : Chivas USA

I left it all in there to drive home the differences in team success and failure over the past three MLS seasons.

Now... on to more interesting things; How MLS teams do in the US Open Cup and CONCACAF Champions league.

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